The Golden Globe awards are a few hours away, which means we’re just under the wire to get our Oscar nomination predictions in without being influenced by the Globe winners. Although there are some very clear pack leaders of the 2016 awards season (namely Spotlight and Mad Max: Fury Road) some categories were nearly impossible to slim down —  especially Best Supporting Actress, Best Director and Best Picture.

Oscar Nomination Predictions 2016
Spotlight is an Oscar frontrunner in multiple categories.

These predictions are pretty conservative — after all, they are based on what I think will happen, not what I hope will happen, though there may be some overlap. Since after much hemming and hawing, I couldn’t justify Star Wars: The Force Awakens as a Best Picture nominee even though I think the Academy will choose ten, I predicted a Best Director nod for J.J. Abrams, which I haven’t seen many others do. I just can’t see The Force Awakens walking away without any recognition in the non-technical awards, which is what my predictions were limited to. I also couldn’t in good faith ignore Tangerine, though it seems most prognosticators think the Academy will. Mya Taylor’s performance was just too affecting to leave out, even in one of the most crowded categories.

The 2016 Oscar nominations will be announced Thursday, January 14.

Best Picture

Spotlight

Carol

Room

Bridge of Spies

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Revenant

The Big Short

The Martian

Straight Outta Compton

Brooklyn

Best Original Screenplay

Spotlight

Inside Out

Ex-Machina

Trainwreck

Straight Outta Compton

Best Adapted Screenplay

The Big Short

Carol

Trumbo

The Martian

Brooklyn

Best Director

George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road

J.J. Abrams, Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, The Revenant

Tom McCarthy, Spotlight

Ridley Scott, The Martian

Best Actor

Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant

Bryan Cranston, Trumbo

Michael B. Jordan, Creed

Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs

Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl

Best Actress

Brie Larson, Room

Cate Blanchett, Carol

Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years

Lily Tomlin, Grandma

Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn

Best Supporting Actor

Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight

Michael Shannon, 99 Homes

Sylvester Stallone, Creed

Mark Rylance, Bridge Of Spies

Idris Elba, Beasts of No Nation

Best Supporting Actress

Rooney Mara, Carol

Mya Taylor, Tangerine

Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs

Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl

Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight

Best Animated Movie

Inside Out

Anomalisa

The Peanuts Movie

Shaun the Sheep Movie

The Good Dinosaur

Best Cinematography

Ed Lachman, Carol

Roger Deakins, Sicario

John Seale, Mad Max: Fury Road

Emmanuel Lubezki, The Revenant

Robert Richardson, The Hateful Eight

http://www.forbes.com/sites/ellenkilloran/2016/01/10/oscar-nomination-predictions-2016/

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