The Golden Globe awards are a few hours away, which means we’re just under the wire to get our Oscar nomination predictions in without being influenced by the Globe winners. Although there are some very clear pack leaders of the 2016 awards season (namely Spotlight and Mad Max: Fury Road) some categories were nearly impossible to slim down — especially Best Supporting Actress, Best Director and Best Picture.
These predictions are pretty conservative — after all, they are based on what I think will happen, not what I hope will happen, though there may be some overlap. Since after much hemming and hawing, I couldn’t justify Star Wars: The Force Awakens as a Best Picture nominee even though I think the Academy will choose ten, I predicted a Best Director nod for J.J. Abrams, which I haven’t seen many others do. I just can’t see The Force Awakens walking away without any recognition in the non-technical awards, which is what my predictions were limited to. I also couldn’t in good faith ignore Tangerine, though it seems most prognosticators think the Academy will. Mya Taylor’s performance was just too affecting to leave out, even in one of the most crowded categories.
The 2016 Oscar nominations will be announced Thursday, January 14.
Best Picture
Carol
Room
Bridge of Spies
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant
The Big Short
The Martian
Straight Outta Compton
Brooklyn
Best Original Screenplay
Spotlight
Inside Out
Ex-Machina
Trainwreck
Straight Outta Compton
Best Adapted Screenplay
The Big Short
Carol
Trumbo
The Martian
Brooklyn
Best Director
George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road
J.J. Abrams, Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, The Revenant
Tom McCarthy, Spotlight
Ridley Scott, The Martian
Best Actor
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
Bryan Cranston, Trumbo
Michael B. Jordan, Creed
Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl
Best Actress
Brie Larson, Room
Cate Blanchett, Carol
Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years
Lily Tomlin, Grandma
Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn
Best Supporting Actor
Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
Michael Shannon, 99 Homes
Sylvester Stallone, Creed
Mark Rylance, Bridge Of Spies
Idris Elba, Beasts of No Nation
Best Supporting Actress
Rooney Mara, Carol
Mya Taylor, Tangerine
Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs
Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight
Best Animated Movie
Inside Out
Anomalisa
The Peanuts Movie
Shaun the Sheep Movie
The Good Dinosaur
Best Cinematography
Ed Lachman, Carol
Roger Deakins, Sicario
John Seale, Mad Max: Fury Road
Emmanuel Lubezki, The Revenant
Robert Richardson, The Hateful Eight
http://www.forbes.com/sites/ellenkilloran/2016/01/10/oscar-nomination-predictions-2016/
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